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US home prices have soared 47% so far this decade. The price surge has outpaced the gains seen in the 1990s and 2010s, and is nearly ahead of the 2000s. AdvertisementUS home prices have soared 47.1% so far this decade, according to a ResiClub analysis of the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index. The massive price gains seen in the first four years of the 2020s have eclipsed all of the growth seen in the 1990s and 2010s, according to the analysis. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Business
The US housing market faces an inventory shortage, but empty offices don't offer a solution. Goldman Sachs strategists say that offices can't be cheaply or easily converted into residential units. Goldman Sachs Investment Research, CoStar dataIn the same stretch, a combination of high mortgage rates and home prices with limited housing inventory has frozen the US housing market. Residential housing affordability has declined for the last 15 years and hit a historical low in 2022. "Our analysis implies that only 0.8% of US office inventory is currently priced at a level that makes conversion to multifamily housing financially feasible," the bank maintained.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , it's, Goldman, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs Investment Research, Goldman, San Locations: San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG said it's bracing for an ongoing decline in commercial real estate. It called the downturn "the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis." Shares of the German bank have declined about 25% year-to-date. AdvertisementSigns of commercial real estate distress continue to mount, with the latest warning coming from German lending giant Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG. "Despite these expenses, pbb remains profitable thanks to its financial strength – even in the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis," the bank said in a statement February 7.
Persons: , they've Organizations: Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG, Service
Office-to-residential conversions are up 357% since 2021, according to a report from ResiClubThere's $150 billion in office mortgages set to come due in 2024. Last year, about $541 billion of commercial real estate debt officially matured. AdvertisementBy 2027, $2.2 trillion of commercial real estate debt is set to mature, Capital Economics said. ResiClub cofounder Lance Lambert pointed out that commercial buildings aren't all designed or constructed to be repurposed as living spaces. "It makes sense given the wave of expired leases and vacant office buildings," Lambert said.
Persons: , Moody's, CommercialEdge, Lance Lambert, Lambert, " Lambert Organizations: Service, ResiClub, Federal Reserve, Washington DC, Dallas, Research, Capital Economics, Business Locations: RentCafe, ResiClub, Washington, New York
Nik Shah, a housing expert who was spot-on in his forecast for last year, said prices could climb 7% in 2024. "Barring a black swan event, we predict that the housing market in 2024 will appreciate more than 2023," Shah told the real estate outlet. Related storiesFor reference, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index notched a 4.8% annual gain up to October 2023, in line with Shah's estimate. At the same time, aging boomers will lead to an uptick in housing supply, which will should help ease prices. Meanwhile, findings from a separate Zillow survey suggest that the housing market could be breaking free from the "rate lock" phenomenon that froze activity last year.
Persons: Nik Shah, ResiClub, , Shah, hasn't, Gen Z Organizations: Service, metros, Owners Locations: Austin, Boise, Denver
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